Analysis Cheat Sheet
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Financial Health
Frequent dilutive shares
• Cash flow problems • Poor operational efficiency • Weak business model • High cash burn rate
Rising accounts receivable vs revenue
• Channel stuffing • Customer payment issues • Aggressive revenue recognition • Weakening market position
Declining gross margins
• Pricing pressure • Cost control issues • Market competition • Raw material problems
Working capital deterioration
• Operational inefficiency • Supply chain issues • Market slowdown • Cash management problems
Increasing commodity hedging
• Supply cost concern • Price volatility preparation • Margin protection strategy • Market uncertainty
Management Behavior
Insider selling during growth
• Management lacks confidence • Peak performance concerns • Upcoming challenges • Better opportunities elsewhere
Frequent executive turnover
• Internal problems • Strategy disagreements • Poor execution • Culture issues
Related party transactions
• Governance issues • Conflict of interest • Poor oversight • Hidden liabilities
Changing auditors
• Accounting disagreements • Attempting to hide issues • Cost cutting • Relationship problems
Delayed filings
• Internal control issues • Accounting problems • Management disorganization • Potential restatements
Sudden board nationality changes
• Regulatory compliance preparation • Political alignment shift • Market access strategy • Government relationship building
Market Position
Declining market share
• Product competitiveness issues • Market disruption • Poor execution • Customer satisfaction problems
Price reductions
• Market saturation • Competitive pressure • Product lifecycle decline • Cost advantages lost
Customer concentration
• Business risk • Limited market penetration • Strong product fit • Weak sales diversity
Expanding into new markets
• Core market saturation • Seeking growth • Strategic pivot • Risk diversification
Regional market exit
• Political risk mitigation • Regulatory pressure • Asset protection strategy • Market access issues
Technical Development
High R&D spending vs revenue
• Innovation pressure • Technical debt • Competitive catch-up needed • Product maturity issues
Patent portfolio shrinking
• Innovation slowdown • R&D effectiveness issues • Strategic shift • Cost cutting
Frequent technical delays
• Development problems • Resource constraints • Poor project management • Technical complexity
Outsourcing core development
• Cost pressure • Talent shortage • Strategic shift • Loss of core competency
Technology localization
• Market access requirement • Data sovereignty preparation • Political compliance • Supply chain independence
Operational Patterns
Rising inventory levels
• Demand problems • Production inefficiency • Market slowdown • Poor forecasting
Supplier concentration
• Supply chain risk • Limited alternatives • Strategic partnership • Cost optimization
Increasing operating costs
• Scale issues • Inefficient processes • Market pressure • Poor cost control
Geographic concentration
• Market dependency • Limited expansion • Strong regional position • Political/economic risk
Supply chain regionalization
• Trade restriction preparation • Political risk mitigation • Cost versus risk balancing • Market access strategy
Risk Indicators
Regulatory investigations
• Compliance issues • Governance problems • Industry scrutiny • Reputation risk
Increasing debt levels
• Cash flow problems • Growth funding • Acquisition plans • Working capital needs
Frequent litigation
• Product issues • IP problems • Customer dissatisfaction • Industry tensions
Environmental violations
• Poor controls • Cost cutting • Management priorities • Regulatory risk
Cross-border asset movement
• Capital control concerns • Political risk mitigation • Tax strategy changes • Asset protection measures
Growth Patterns
Declining growth rate
• Market saturation • Competition • Product lifecycle • Execution problems
Acquisition spree
• Organic growth issues • Market consolidation • Strategic expansion • Management empire building
New market entries
• Core market issues • Strategic expansion • Risk diversification • Revenue pressure
Product line expansion
• Market opportunity • Core product issues • Strategic growth • Resource strain
Strategic market avoidance
• Political risk assessment • Regulatory concern • Market access uncertainty • Government relationship issues
Geopolitical Risk Patterns
Military build-ups at borders
• Potential conflict preparation • Regional destabilization • Supply chain disruption risk • Market access threats
Specialized military equipment production
• Specific operation planning • Strategic target indicators • Regional conflict risk • Military modernization
Changes in strategic resource stockpiling
• Supply disruption preparation • Trade restriction anticipation • Political tension indicators • Economic warfare preparation
Diplomatic mission changes
• Deteriorating relations • Conflict preparation • Asset protection measures • Information gathering concerns
Infrastructure hardening
• Military preparation • Civil defense planning • Strategic asset protection • Conflict anticipation
Economic policy shifts
• Sanctions preparation • Trade war positioning • Economic decoupling • Strategic autonomy pursuit
Strategic industry nationalization
• Resource control preparation • Economic warfare positioning • Supply chain disruption • Market access restriction
Port/transportation infrastructure development
• Military logistics preparation • Trade route control • Force projection capability • Strategic positioning
Unusual commodity purchases
• Resource hoarding • Supply disruption preparation • Economic pressure tactics • Strategic reserve building
Strategic technology acquisition
• Military capability building • Industrial capability enhancement • Sanctions evasion preparation • Strategic independence pursuit
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